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2010 Election Results and Health Care Legislation

by Edward J. Kroger, MD, JD on November 3rd, 2010

Yesterday’s election results can be summarized as follows:

  1. Republicans won a majority of the House. They will claim a “mandate” to curtail or reverse Obama policies.
  2. Democrats retained a modest majority of the Senate, but not sufficient to force legislation.
  3. State governments, including Texas, generally moved towards Republican candidates.

The effect of the election will be to cause significant gridlock in federal legislation over the next two years. Given these realities, our predictions for the next two years:

  1. Recently passed health care reform will not be repealed, though there may be some tinkering. Republicans will argue for repeal, but both parties have a vested political interest in the status quo, and the law will not be repealed with Democrat control of the Senate and White House. The states will have an opportunity to slow down implementation of the legislation and predictably will on a state by state basis.
  2. Medicare payments to physicians will not be substantially cut.
  3. Medicare benefits will not be substantially curtailed.
  4. There is a very modest chance that some sort of tort reform will be pushed on a federal level.
  5. Health care costs will continue to rise at a significant rate.
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From → Health Law